Using ARIMA model to forecast the Reported Crimes in Libya from 2020 to 2025

Date

2022-12

Type

Article

Journal title

Libyan Journal of Applied Science and Technology

Issue

Vol. 2 No. 10

Author(s)

Adel Ali Ewhida

Pages

80 - 92

Abstract

A time series is a collection of data that was compiled chronologically. Most time series can be predicted based on their present and historical values. Software programs like Spss and Minitab are made specifically to process time series data. The SPSS and Minitab software programs can be used to create the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, a time series forecast technique. In this paper, the forecasting process using the ARIMA model is illustrated using the SPSS and Minitab software. For instance, the predicted period for reported crimes (RC) in Libya is from 2020 to 2026.