Modelling the epidemic spread of COVID-19 virus infection in Northern African countries

Date

2020-4

Type

Article

Journal title

Travel Medicine and Infectious Disease

Issue

Vol. 2020 No. 35

Author(s)

Mohamed A Daw
Abdallah H El-bouzedi

Abstract

o estimate the number of initial cases at an early stage of the outbreak and make a prediction of new cases in this region to allow the implementation of prober policy to compact this contagious infection. Here in we eval- uated the transmissibility of COVID-19 in the northern African region using the serial interval equal to that of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China, with a mean of 7.5 days and a standard deviation of 3.4 day

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