Abstract
o estimate the number of initial cases at an early stage of the outbreak and make a prediction of new cases in this region to allow the implementation of prober policy to compact this contagious infection. Here in we eval- uated the transmissibility of COVID-19 in the northern African region using the serial interval equal to that of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China, with a mean of 7.5 days and a standard deviation of 3.4 day